Bloggers Make Better Lovers Predictions

Thursday, January 03, 2008
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Stephen Downes has created an informative report card detailing "the predictions from the 2007 eLearn Magazine's annual round-up, and what actually happened." I have decided to take Stephen's findings one step further.


The following "grades" have come from Stephen's post and the blogs have mostly been identified (hopefully accurately) using a simple Google search: 'elliot masie blog', for example, reveals several online works created by Elliot.

Don Norman, Nielsen Norman Group, Northwestern University, and Author of Things That Make Us Smart, USA

Richard Mayer, Department of Psychology, University of California, USA
  • Grade: C-
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Elliott Masie, The MASIE Center's Learning CONSORTIUM, USA
Michael Feldstein, author of the e-Literate weblog and member of eLearn Magazine's Editorial Advisory Board, USA
Curt Bonk, Professor, Indiana University, USA
Stephen Downes, Researcher, National Research Council, Canada
Ray Schroeder, Director, Office of Technology-Enhanced Learning, University of Illinois at Springfield, USA
Karl Kapp, Assistant Director, Institute for Interactive Technologies and Professor of Instructional Technology, Bloomsburg University, USA
Saul Carliner, Assistant Professor, Graduate Program in Educational Technology, Concordia University, Canada
  • Grade: B
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Allison Rossett, Professor of Educational Technology, San Diego State University and co-author of Job Aids and Performance Support, USA
  • Grade: C
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Jay Cross, Internet Time Group., USA
Mark Oehlert, Learning Strategy Architect, Booz Allen Hamilton, USA
Margaret Driscoll, Consultant, IBM, USA
  • Grade: C
  • Blog: None easily accessible (She did publish to the Learning Circuits blog, but that hasn't been updated in years)
Richard Larson, Director, MIT Learning Interactive Networks Consortium (LINC) and Mitsui Professor, Engineering Systems, MIT, USA
  • Grade: D
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Angeliki Poulymenakou, Assistant Professor in Information Systems, and Spiros Borotis, Researcher, both at Athens University of Economics and Business, Greece
  • Grade: C
  • Blog: None easily accessible (could be language barrier)
Masaaki Kurosu, Professor, National Institute of Multimedia Education, Japan
  • Grade: D
  • Blog: None easily accessible (could be language barrier)
Ellen Wagner, Sr. Director, Worldwide eLearning Solutions, Adobe Systems, USA
  • Grade: B
  • Blog: None easily accessible
David Porush, Executive Director, SUNY Learning Environments, USA
  • Grade: C+
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Geoffrey Bock, Principal, Bock & Company, USA
Jonathon Levy, Senior Learning Strategist, Monitor Group, USA
  • Grade: C-
  • Blog: None easily accessible
Now, using the 4.0 grade scale (generally standard in the United States), I've calculated the collective averages of bloggers versus non-bloggers - and if I've recorded any of the above entries erroneously, please let me know and I'll adjust the numbers below.

Bloggers
  • N=10
  • GPA = 2.533
Non-Bloggers
  • N=10
  • GPA = 1.967
Drape's Take - These numbers may suggest that:
  • In spite of his efforts to the contrary, Stephen Downes might be biased in his grading.
  • Bloggers might be more effective in making accurate predictions about educational technologies.
  • Blogging just might make you think clearer, with a greater awareness of current events and trends.
  • I have just found several new blogs to add to the reader.
So what are your conclusions?

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